Psychology: Overconfidence bias: people are systematically too sure…

Question

Did you know? Overconfidence bias: people are systematically too sure of their knowledge. When doctors say "100% sure", they're right in 80% of cases. When they say "70% sure", they're right in just 50% — guessing would score equally well. Hence the importance of "I don't know" as a professional answer.

Accepted Answer

Overconfidence bias: people are systematically too sure of their knowledge. When doctors say "100% sure", they're right in 80% of cases. When they say "70% sure", they're right in just 50% — guessing would score equally well. Hence the importance of "I don't know" as a professional answer.

Meer uit Psychologie · More from Psychology